All things lead to the Oscars, and with this incredibly beautiful and amazing year of films, we can finally conclude this epic chase that’s started since Cannes… until Cannes comes again in May. But let this be told, this has been a race that has been very unique, mysterious, and simply, too difficult to decipher. From the precursors being unable to find unanimously crown a victor to the three headed race we’ve had since December in regards to Best Picture, this is a year that closely resembles 2000 when Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Traffic, and Gladiator all came to throw punches. There’s a huge amount of disparity happening through this year’s journey, and the Academy will most likely (well at least what everyone has been predicting) break traditional and usual voting behaviors, and if that’s the case, it’ll be quite the night this Sunday.
There’s so much to discuss, and so much to write about, but at this very moment, we’ll just talk about each category and my predictions for the evening.
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Predicted Winner: The Voorman Problem
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Predicted Winner: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Predicted Winner: Get A Horse!
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
The original song category is quite the lineup. Disregarding the controversy of one nominee being disqualified, the rest are all pretty up to par, with Pharrell, Idina Menzel, Karen O from the Yeah Yeah Yeahs, and U2 all scheduled to perform. “Let It Go” has been the favorite ever since FROZEN was released, and it most likely will win. But it does have a few notable challengers including U2 and Pharrell, who seems to have a hot hand currently. It’s still an easy choice to go with “Let It Go”, but don’t be surprised if someone else comes up to accept the award.
Predicted Winner: “Let It Go” –Frozen
Dark Horse: “Ordinary Love” –U2
If I Had A Vote: “Let It Go” –Frozen
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Another category with a clear favorite, Stephen Price’s score for GRAVITY was genius and coherent with the film’s journey, and it should have an easy path to the Oscar, something GRAVITY will do many times that night.
Predicted Winner: Gravity
Dark Horse: Philomena
If I Had A Vote: Her
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
I’m a little annoyed with this category as I felt three immaculate foreign films weren’t nominated: THE LUNCHBOX, THE PAST, and THE BLUE IS THE WARMEST COLOUR (on technicality). But the category is coming down to two films: THE GREAT BEAUTY and THE HUNT. I don’t think the Academy can ignore Fellini, but THE HUNT making a surprise win wouldn’t be a shocker.
Predicted Winner: The Great Beauty
Dark Horse: The Hunt
If I Had A Vote: Omar
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Another category that I felt left out some amazing pieces of work (BLACKFISH, STORIES WE TELL), this is a difficult category to predict mainly because almost each nominated film could potentially win. Documentary is a very challenging award mainly because there’s a certain rule in its voting realm, and in the past, the Academy rarely goes with acclaimed favorite. THE ACT OF KILLING is the most profound piece capturing the horrors of the human spirit, but with it’s challenging material, I don’t know if voters would gravitate towards a film like that, even though it’s the most deserving in my opinion. The documentary that seems most appealing to voters is 20 FEET FROM STARDOM, and if we’re going with traditional mindsets, then yes, that’d be the choice. But you can’t ignore the quite appropriate THE SQUARE or DIRTY WARS. It’s definitely a category that will come down to a close vote, and in the end, it seems the lighthearted film will appease the Academy.
Predicted Winner: 20 Feet From Stardom
Dark Horse: The Act of Killing
If I Had A Vote: The Act of Killing
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Another category that has a clear favorite, FROZEN (slightly overrated), has swept most, if not all, animated wins throughout the awards circuit. There’s been a quiet campaign for THE WIND RISES, Hayao Miyazaki’s last film, which caps the ambitious and illustrious career for the Japanese animator, but FROZEN’s a force to be reckoned with.
Predicted Winner: Frozen
Dark Horse: The Wind Rises
If I Had A Vote: Frozen
*Tomorrow will be the tech categories.