2014 Oscar Nominations Predictions

I kind of dislike myself on how much I love awards season, even though it really is trivial to award one individual or film in a subjective art like cinema, but nonetheless, it happens.  There’s a science to this whole process, and since watching the Academy Awards since I was a little kid, I’ve learned a few things on the way.  But this year feels like a year that we just have no idea what’s going to happen.  There are so many great films in play with an exponential amount of dynamics and situations, it’s really hard to gauge exactly how the Academy feels about anything.  But these are the few things I’m sure of at this precise moment:

*The American Hustle love will continue with AT LEAST 3 acting nominations.

*Gravity will receive the most nominations out of any film.

*Best Actor has EIGHT legitimate candidates, and the 2-3 left out will cause chaos.

*The only safe, IMO, for Directing is Alfonso Cuaron.  Last year’s shock fest with Bigelow and Affleck’s absence tells me there’s no guarantees with the Directors’ Branch voting before DGA nomination.

So for some reason, I’ll try and predict 22 out of the 24 categories (minus short films).  And here we go…

American Hustle
12 Years A Slave
Captain Phillips
The Wolf of Wall Street
Dallas Buyers Club
Alternate: Inside Llewyn Davis, Blue Jasmine, or Lee Daniel’s The Butler

Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years A Slave
Leonardo DiCaprio – Wolf of Wall Street
Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
Alternate: Christian Bale (American Hustle) or Robert Redford (All Is Lost)

Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks
Sandra Bullock – Gravity
Judi Dench – Philomena
Amy Adams – American Hustle
Alternate: Meryl Streep (August: Osage County) or Brie Larson (Short Term 12)

Supporting Actor
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years A Slave
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Alternate: Daniel Bruhl (Rush) or Jonah Hill (Wolf of Wall Street)

Supporting Actress
Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years A Slave
Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
Oprah Winfrey – The Butler
June Squibb – Nebraska
Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
Alternate: Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine) or Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)

David O. Russell – American Hustle
Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
Steve McQueen – 12 Years A Slave
Spike Jonze – Her
Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
Alternate: Alexander Payne (Nebraska) or Martin Scorsese (Wolf of Wall Street)

Original Screenplay
Spike Jonze – Her
Eric Singer & David O. Russell – American Hustle
Bob Nelson – Nebraska
Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine
Joel & Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis
Alternate: Alfonso & Jonas Cuaron (Gravity)

Adapted Screenplay
John Ridley – 12 Years A Slave
Tracy Letts – August: Osage County
Terrence Winter – Wolf of Wall Street
Billy Ray – Captain Phillips
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Richard Linlakter – Before Midnight
Alternate: Steve Coogan (Philomena), Destin Cretton (Short Term 12)

American Hustle
12 Years A Slave
Captain Phillips
The Wolf of Wall Street

Inside Llewyn Davis
12 Years A Slave
Captain Phillips

Production Design
12 Years A Slave
The Great Gatsby
The Desolation of Smaug

Sound Mixing
Lone Survivor
Inside Llewyn Davis
Captain Phillips

Sound Editing
Captain Phillips
Star Trek Into Darkness
Inside Llewyn Davis

Costume Design
American Hustle
12 Years A Slave
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
The Desolation of Smaug

Original Score
All is Lost
12 Years A Slave
The Book Thief

Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker (Bosnia)

Documentary Feature
The Act of Killing
Stories We Tell
The Square
20 Feet from Stardom

Animated Feature
The Wind Rises
Monster University

Visual Effects
The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
Star Trek Into Darkness

Makeup & Hair
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
Dallas Buyers Club

“Let It Go” – Frozen
“Ordinary Love” – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
“My Lord Sunshine” – 12 Years A Slave
“Happy” – Despicable Me 2
“Atlas” – Hunger Games: Catching Fire

*The nominations will be announced tomorrow morning 5 a.m. PT/8 a.m. ET.


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